Shanghai Daily: Business - shanghaidaily.com
OIL prices jumped in light trading yesterday after the government reported that consumer spending surged last month, raising hopes that the US economy will weather the crisis roiling credit markets and that demand for oil and gasoline will strengthen. The Commerce Department said consumer spending jumped 1.1 percent in November, the biggest one-month gain since 2004 and well above analyst expectations for an 0.7 percent increase. Light, sweet crude for February delivery rose US$2.25 to settle at US$93.31 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Oil prices were also supported by stocks, which rose yesterday, and a slightly weaker dollar. Energy investors often view stock market moves as reflective of overall economic sentiment. Also, oil futures offer a hedge against a weak dollar, and oil futures bought and sold in dollars are more attractive to foreign investors when the greenback is falling. Many observers blame oil's rise last month to near US$100 on speculators
Shanghai Daily: Business - shanghaidaily.com
CRUDE oil futures rose yesterday after the government said stocks of crude and heating oil fell sharply last week while gasoline inventories jumped. In its weekly inventory snapshot, the Energy Department's Energy Information Administration reported crude stocks dropped by 7.6 million barrels last week, much more than the 1.5 million barrel decline analysts surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires, on average, had expected. Much of the decline was due to a sharp drop in imports, almost a million barrels a day, because fog closed the Houston Ship Channel last week, said Jim Ritterbusch, president of Ritterbusch and Associates in Galena, Illinois. "That's basically what drew crude supplies lower," Ritterbusch said. Traders expect crude supplies will rebound in next week's report, which will reflect deliveries that were delayed by the fog, Ritterbusch said. Meanwhile, investors were focusing on other aspects of the report, which were mixed. For instance, heating oil
Shanghai Daily: Business - shanghaidaily.com
STOCKS sold off yesterday after a jump in consumer inflation raised concerns about how much freedom the Federal Reserve has to continue cutting interest rates. The Dow Jones industrial average gave up more than 178 points. The Labor Department said the consumer price index rose 0.8 percent in November amid a spike in gasoline prices. The report also found large increases in the cost of clothing, airline tickets and prescription drugs. The report raises questions about the Fed's options for priming the economy. The Fed this week lowered interest rates and announced a plan to align with other key central banks and offer loans to pressed lenders around the world. But while it wants to stimulate the U.S. economy and make lending easier among banks wary of faltering debt, the Fed also has to keep a watchful eye on inflation. Robert Dye, senior economist at PNC Financial Services Group, said the economic readings this week painted a mixed picture for investors, spurring some of the
Shanghai Daily: Business - shanghaidaily.com
STOCKS finished mixed in another volatile session yesterday after a spike in wholesale prices touched off inflation concerns and partially overshadowed a strong increase in retail sales last month. Despite the uneven economic news, a strong forecast by Honeywell International Inc propped up the Dow Jones industrial average. Wall Street, which has this week paid close attention to steps by the Federal Reserve to stoke greater movement in moribund credit markets, again looked to fresh economic data for signals about the health of the economy. In one unwelcome development, prices at the wholesale level jumped 3.2 percent in November -- their biggest increase in 34 years -- after a steep rise in wholesale gasoline prices. The news wasn't all bad, however. The Commerce Department said retail sales rose in November by the largest amount in six months, and a Labor Department report showed a drop in new claims filed by those seeking jobless benefits. The modest movement on Wall
MarketWatch.com - Top Stories
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- U.S. retail sales rose sharply in November, pushed higher by rising gasoline prices, the Commerce Department reported Thursday.
Yahoo! News: Business
Reuters - Producer prices surged 3.2 percent in November, the biggest rise in 34 years, on a record rise in gasoline prices, the Labor Department said on Thursday.
Reuters: Business News
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Producer prices surged 3.2 percent in November, the biggest rise in 34 years, on a record rise in gasoline prices, the Labor Department said on Thursday.
MarketWatch.com - MarketPulse
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- Wholesale prices rose 3.2% in November - the largest change since 3.5% in August 1973 -- as energy price growth hit a new record, the Labor Department reported Thursday. Wholesale energy prices rose 14.1% in November, beating the prior record growth of 13.4% in January 1990. Growth in gasoline prices of 34.8% also hit a new record - beating the prior record of 28.8% in April 1999. Food prices had 0.0% growth, compared with a gain of 1.0% in the prior month. Excluding volatile food and energy, the core producer prices grew 0.4%. Economists had expected November's PPI to grow 1.8% and the core to grow 0.2%.
MarketWatch.com - MarketPulse
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - U.S. retail sales rose a better-than-expected 1.2% in November, the best gain in six months, the Commerce Department estimated Thursday. The sales gains were widespread across most kinds of retail outlets, including gasoline, department stores and hardware stores. Auto sales were the only major source of weakness, falling 1%. The consensus forecast of Wall Street economists was for retail sales to rise 0.7%. Excluding autos, sales rose 1.8%. Wall Street had expected a increase of 0.7%. Higher prices at the pump contributed to the November sales gain. Excluding gasoline, sales increased 0.6%.
Shanghai Daily: Business - shanghaidaily.com
OIL futures fell yesterday to their lowest level in six weeks after a mixed government inventory report failed to offset a belief that supplies are growing faster than demand. Investors shrugged off OPEC's decision to keep production levels steady, a possible sign prices have peaked for the year, analysts said. In its weekly inventory report, the Energy Department's Energy Information Administration said crude supplies plunged by 8 million barrels last week, much more than the expected 700,000 barrel decline. That caused oil prices to jump briefly above US$90 a barrel. But other aspects of the report weighed on prices as the day wore on. Crude supplies grew at the closely-watching Nymex delivery terminal in Cushing, Oklahoma. Inventories of heating oil rose when analysts had expected a decline, and gasoline supplies rose more than expected. "Overall, this is a mixed report," said Tim Evans, an analyst at Citigroup Inc, in a research note. Earlier yesterday,
Shanghai Daily: Business - shanghaidaily.com
ENERGY futures fell yesterday after the government reported unexpected increases in crude oil and gasoline inventories last week and OPEC forecast fourth-quarter demand for oil would be less than expected. In its weekly inventory report, the Energy Department's Energy Information Administration said oil inventories rose by 2.8 million barrels during the week ended November 9. Analysts surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires, on average, had expected a decline of 300,000 barrels. That helped send light, sweet crude for December delivery falling 66 US cents to settle at US$93.43 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange after trading off more than US$2 a barrel earlier. Crude prices have been volatile this week, falling more than US$3 on Tuesday and rising more than US$2 on Wednesday after hitting a record of US$98.62 one week ago. The drop in crude was limited, however, by an unexpectedly large drop in heating oil supplies, a mixed report on Iran's compliance with UN demands over
Shanghai Daily: Business - shanghaidaily.com
CONSUMER prices in the US rose last month at the same pace as September, led by increases in fuel costs that threaten to boost inflation and slow growth. The cost of living increased 0.3 percent in October, as forecast, the Labor Department said yesterday in Washington. So-called core producer prices, which exclude fuel and food costs, rose 0.2 percent for a fifth month. Gasoline and heating-oil prices started rising in late October and have continued higher this month, suggesting fuel costs will remain a concern. Meanwhile, annual inflation in the euro zone rose to 2.6 percent in October, due to higher fuel and food prices across the 13 countries that use the currency, the EU statistics agency said. The increase puts more pressure on the European Central Bank to consider an interest rate rise to curb the hike in costs. The price index rose from 2.1 percent in September, and marks a two-year high despite the strong euro currency which continues to offer European industry and
L.A. Times - Business
Gasoline could soon top $3.50 a gallon in California, but a large swath of the economy is affected as well. Nationwide fuel costs surged again in the last week, the Energy Department said Tuesday, pushing prices higher than they've ever been at this time of year.
WSJ.com: Economy
The U.S. Energy Department expects gasoline prices to climb an additional 20 cents a gallon by December.
MarketWatch.com - MarketPulse
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - Orders for U.S.-made factory goods rose 0.2% in September on higher gasoline prices, the Commerce Department reported Friday. Orders for durable goods fell 1.7% on a big drop in orders for defense aircraft and other defense goods. Orders and shipments for nondurable goods rose 2.1%. The value of shipments from petroleum refiners jumped 11.2% on the month, accounting for all the gain in nondurables. Total factory orders were stronger than the 0.7% decline expected by economists surveyed by MarketWatch. Factory orders had fallen a revised 3.5% in August. Special one-time factors in both directions clouded the underlying trends in September. Compared with a year ago, orders were down 0.1%, while shipments were off 0.2%.
Shanghai Daily: Business - shanghaidaily.com
OIL futures surged yesterday in a late rally driven by news that workers at Chevron Corp. facilities in Nigeria had staged a surprise strike and by a report that demand for gasoline is up. Nigeria is Africa's biggest oil producer and one of the top overseas suppliers to the United States. Oil prices often rise when Nigerian oil supplies are threatened. "Employees of some of the companies providing labor workforce to Chevron, and belonging to the National Union of Petroleum and Natural Gas Workers ... initiated (a) strike" at six facilities, Chevron said in a statement. Chevron said production was unaffected. It was unclear how long the strike might last. Nigerian oil workers have a history of striking frequently, but returning to work quickly. Prices were also supported by a MasterCard Advisors LLC report that concluded gasoline demand rose 1.3 percentage points last week compared to the same week last year. Light, sweet crude for November delivery rose US$1.04 to settle at US$81.30 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. November gasoline rose 1.34 US cents to settle at US$2.0336 a gallon while Nymex heating oil rose 3.19 US cents to settle at US$2.2172 a gallon. November natural gas rose 14.7 US cents to settle at US$7.01 per 1,000 cubic feet on expectations that this winter will be colder than last. In London, November Brent crude rose US$1.11 to settle at US$78.60 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange. The news from Nigeria and MasterCard interrupted what had been a sleepy day in the Nymex energy futures pits. With little news driving prices earlier in the day, futures had alternated between gains and losses as traders debated whether Thursday's inventory report from the Energy Department's Energy Information Administration will show an increase in crude stockpiles. The report will be released a day later than normal due to Monday's Columbus Day holiday. "The market was starving for some news," said Phil Flynn, an analyst at Alaron Trading Corp. in Chicago. Analysts surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires predict, on average, that crude oil inventories rose 1 million barrels during the week ended Oct. 5, while refinery use fell 0.1 percentage point to 87.4 percent of capacity. Gasoline inventories fell by 300,000 barrels last week, the analysts predict, while distillates, which include heating oil and diesel fuel, likely declined 600,000 barrels. However, a consensus is far from clear, with some
Shanghai Daily: Business - shanghaidaily.com
OIL futures rose sharply yesterday after the government predicted that a colder winter ahead will help lift worldwide demand for crude during the fourth quarter. In a monthly report, the Energy Department's Energy Information Administration estimated that global demand for oil will be 1.8 million barrels a day higher in the fourth quarter than it was during the same period last year. The report follows a prediction Thursday from the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration that temperatures in the US will be 1.3 percent colder than last year, although they'll be 2.8 percent warmer than average. "Initially, traders are relying on the Energy Information Administration (report)," said Tim Evans, an analyst with Citigroup Inc. in New York. However, Evans also said of Tuesday's trading, "I think there may (also) be a technical element to this." Oil prices declined more than US$2 a barrel on Monday, and have been volatile in recent days. Analysts say investors are engaged in a battle over whether oil supplies are adequate to meet fourth quarter demand. Some investors feel prices have peaked for the year and are due to begin a seasonal decline, while others feel prices could rise again and set new records. When prices held above US$78 on Monday, that may have emboldened some of the more bullish investors to try to push prices to new highs, Evans said. Light, sweet crude for November delivery rose US$1.24 to settle at US$80.26 a barrel Tuesday on the New York Mercantile Exchange, while gasoline futures rose 2 cents to settle at US$2.0202 a gallon. November heating oil rose 2.57 cents to settle at US$2.1853 a gallon, while natural gas for November rose 1.7 cents to US$6.863 per 1,000 cubic feet. In London, November Brent crude rose 91 cents to settle at US$77.49 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange. At the pump, meanwhile, gas prices slipped 0.2 cent overnight to a national average of US$2.765 a gallon, according to AAA and the Oil Price Information Service. Retail prices have slid in recent weeks as consumer demand for gasoline has fallen. In addition to reacting to Tuesday's EIA predictions about future demand, traders are anticipating Thursday's EIA report on petroleum inventories. Crude oil inventories are expected to have gained 1 million barrels in the week ended Oct. 5, according to a Dow Jones Newswires survey of analysts, while refinery use is expected to have fallen by 0.1 percentage point to
Shanghai Daily: Business - shanghaidaily.com
THE widening gap between crude oil and the relatively low price of gasoline is signaling the first quarterly decline in oil prices in a year. While oil has fallen in the fourth quarter during 13 of the past 20 years because of the transition from peak summer demand, the pressure for another drop in the months ahead is the most intense since 2004 and may defer any rebound to record crude prices until the first half of 2008. Citigroup Inc, Deutsche Bank AG and HSBC Holdings Plc anticipate that oil will slide from last month's record US$83.90 a barrel as gasoline sales weaken to the lowest level this year and a slowing US economy curbs demand. Profits from making fuels are so low that refiners have 12.5 percent of capacity off line, the second-highest rate of the past two decades for this time of year, data from the US Department of Energy show. "Refinery profit margins are being squeezed at a time when significant maintenance is scheduled," said Tim Evans, an energy analyst with Citigroup Global Markets Inc in New York. "The combination of these factors should send crude oil lower." Oil traders and analysts have never been more pessimistic, with 75 percent of respondents anticipating prices will fall, according to a weekly survey by Bloomberg News that started in April 2004. Crude may end the year below US$70 a barrel, compared with US$81.66 at the end of the third quarter, according to a forecast by Adam Sieminski, a global oil analyst at Deutsche Bank in New York. If he's right, a US$1 million investment in crude oil futures in New York would more than double to US$2.3 million, assuming speculators used the exchange's minimum deposit to conduct the transaction. Not everyone forecasts that oil will move lower by the end of the year. Goldman Sachs Group Inc is the most bullish commodities trading firm on oil, forecasting on September 17 that crude will end the year at US$85 a barrel, with a "high risk" of a jump above US$90, according to a report from analysts including Jeffrey Currie in London. Its two current trading recommendations on oil are both money-losers. One of them was to buy the gasoline refining margin, which has lost more than half its value since then, Goldman's research shows.
Shanghai Daily: Business - shanghaidaily.com
ENERGY futures fell yesterday as traders expecting a weakening of demand in the coming months cashed in profits from the previous session's rally. While an encouraging employment report suggested the economy is weathering the problems affecting the subprime mortgage industry, many energy traders and analysts question whether demand for oil and petroleum products will be strong enough in the fourth quarter to support US$80 a barrel oil. Others argue that demand for oil will increase as home heating season progresses. While crude inventories have risen for two straight weeks, supplies of gasoline and distillates including heating oil fell last week. Investors betting demand will tighten in the fourth quarter drove oil prices US$1.50 higher on Thursday. Yesterday, light, sweet crude for November delivery fell 22 cents to settle at US$81.22 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Futures ended the week down 44 cents a barrel, or 0.5 percent. Trading yesterday was volatile, with prices alternately rallying and falling. "There's profit-taking going on after yesterday's rally," said Addison Armstrong, an analyst with TFS Energy Futures LLC in Stamford, Connecticut. The quick resolution of many of Thursday's West Coast refinery outages also pressured prices yesterday. November gasoline fell 0.29 cent to settle at US$2.0493 a gallon on the Nymex, ending the week down 1.9 cents, or 0.9 percent. Heating oil futures fell 0.78 cent to settle at US$2.2235 a gallon. Both contracts surged more than 5 cents on Thursday. Natural gas for November delivery fell 33.9 cents to settle at US$7.073 per 1,000 cubic feet. Forecasters see little chance that a series of storms strung from the Gulf of Mexico to the central Atlantic will develop into tropical storms that could threaten critical gas and oil infrastructure. In London, November Brent crude fell 7 cents to settle at US$78.90 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange. Oil prices have been volatile in recent days as investors have battled over whether demand will grow or weaken in the fourth quarter. "It's a stalemate right now," said Phil Flynn, an analyst at Alaron Trading Corp. in Chicago. "People really don't know what the next move will be." Energy Department data suggests demand for gasoline is falling, and many analysts think that's a function of this year's record gas prices. But others argue that falling refinery activity and heating oil inventories sugg
Shanghai Daily: Business - shanghaidaily.com
OIL prices rose for the first time in four sessions yesterday as investors questioned whether supplies of crude, gasoline and heating oil are adequate to meet demand. With heating season about to begin, investors are betting demand for crude oil will jump as refineries start producing more heating oil. And refineries that are focused on heating oil will be turning out less gasoline. The Energy Department on Wednesday reported that crude inventories rose by 1.2 million barrels last week, while supplies of distillates including heating oil fell by 1.2 million barrels. Gasoline supplies fell by 100,000 barrels. Traders view that increase in crude supplies as inadequate, said James Cordier, president of Liberty Trading Group in Tampa, Florida. "That's nothing," Cordier said. "We expect to see figures of 3 (million) and 5 (million) barrels." Light, sweet crude for November delivery rose US$1.50 to settle at US$81.44 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange after falling more than US$1 earlier. Crude's uncertain direction early in the day reflected a battle between investors betting that demand will tighten, and those who feel oil has peaked and begun a seasonal decline. "This market is going to break seasonally or the global economy is going to find (oil prices are) a bargain," Cordier said. Oil prices also drew support from heating oil and gasoline futures. Nymex heating oil rose 5.26 cents to settle at US$2.2313 a gallon, while November gasoline rose 5.63 cents to settle at US$2.0522 a gallon. Prices of both were supported by the inventory declines and several minor refinery outages on the West Coast. November natural gas rose 13.5 cents to settle at US$7.412 per 1,000 cubic feet. The Energy Department reported that natural gas inventories rose by 57 billion cubic feet last week, less than the 65 billion-cubic-foot increase analysts forecast. Some analysts said a smattering of weather systems strung from the Gulf of Mexico to the central Atlantic were supporting natural gas prices, though none of the storms are expected to develop quickly into subtropical or tropical storms and threaten critical gas and oil infrastructure in the Gulf. In London, November Brent crude rose US$1.78 to settle at US$78.97 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange. Some analysts think this year's record gas prices are affecting demand, which fell last week. But prices will remain high if supplies continue falling. In the