Business news with words department+economic+prices. 15 news.

WALL Street skidded yesterday after the assassination of Pakistani opposition leader Benazir Bhutto and after the Commerce Department's durable goods orders exacerbated concerns about the US economy. The major indexes each lost well over 1 percent and the Dow Jones industrial average fell 192 points. Bhutto's assassination raised the possibility of increasing political unrest abroad, always an unsettling prospect for investors who have already been contending with domestic economic concerns for months. Oil prices rose following the news, and that unwelcome inflationary trend only added to Wall Street's uneasiness. Meanwhile, the government said orders for durable goods, big-ticket items from commercial jetliners to home appliances, rose by just 0.1 percent last month. Economists had been looking for a rise of 2.2 percent. Still, November saw the first rise in durable goods orders in the last four months. The Labor Department said the number of workers seeking unemployment

GOVERNMENT subsidy support for meat production will be stable even when pork prices fluctuate, the Ministry of Finance said yesterday. Speaking at an online press conference, Zeng Xiao'an, deputy director of the MOF's Department of Economic Development, said the government would take subsidies for piglet keepers into a long-term mechanism framework. "It does not matter whether pork prices are rising or falling, the supportive policies will be successive," said Zeng. "We will only adjust the strength of the policies based on real conditions," Zeng said when asked about the policies' time limit. To combat escalating inflation, China pledged to draw up a series of measures, including more subsidies for farmers. From July next year to the end of June in 2009, subsidies for each reproductive female piglet will be raised from 50 yuan (US$6.75) to 100 yuan, said Zeng. Also, the central government will allocate 2.5 billion yuan next year to support the

OIL prices jumped in light trading yesterday after the government reported that consumer spending surged last month, raising hopes that the US economy will weather the crisis roiling credit markets and that demand for oil and gasoline will strengthen. The Commerce Department said consumer spending jumped 1.1 percent in November, the biggest one-month gain since 2004 and well above analyst expectations for an 0.7 percent increase. Light, sweet crude for February delivery rose US$2.25 to settle at US$93.31 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Oil prices were also supported by stocks, which rose yesterday, and a slightly weaker dollar. Energy investors often view stock market moves as reflective of overall economic sentiment. Also, oil futures offer a hedge against a weak dollar, and oil futures bought and sold in dollars are more attractive to foreign investors when the greenback is falling. Many observers blame oil's rise last month to near US$100 on speculators

OVERALL consumer prices in Hong Kong rose 3.4 percent year on year in November, slightly higher than October's 3.2 percent, the Census and Statistics Department said yesterday. The larger increase was mainly attributed to higher costs for town gas, private housing rents, outdoor dining as well as package tours, a spokesman for the department said. The spokesman said forecast for inflation in 2007 remained unchanged at two percent, adding that the slightly higher increase in November had been taken into account in the outlook, which was announced in mid-November. Looking ahead, sustained economic expansion, high food and oil prices, the weak US dollar and the appreciation of the yuan would continue to exert pressures, he added. "Lately, the pick-up in private housing rents also deserved attention. Yet the sustained increase in labor productivity should help mitigate the pressures to some extent," he added. For the three-month period ended November, the average

STOCKS sold off yesterday after a jump in consumer inflation raised concerns about how much freedom the Federal Reserve has to continue cutting interest rates. The Dow Jones industrial average gave up more than 178 points. The Labor Department said the consumer price index rose 0.8 percent in November amid a spike in gasoline prices. The report also found large increases in the cost of clothing, airline tickets and prescription drugs. The report raises questions about the Fed's options for priming the economy. The Fed this week lowered interest rates and announced a plan to align with other key central banks and offer loans to pressed lenders around the world. But while it wants to stimulate the U.S. economy and make lending easier among banks wary of faltering debt, the Fed also has to keep a watchful eye on inflation. Robert Dye, senior economist at PNC Financial Services Group, said the economic readings this week painted a mixed picture for investors, spurring some of the

HOUSING prices in 70 major Chinese cities jumped by 10.5 percent in November, according to an official with the country's top economic planning body. The growth rate was the largest monthly rise since July 2005 when China started to cover more cities in its monthly housing price survey. From January to November, housing prices grew by 7.3 percent year on year, with the cost of new homes jumping 7.9 percent, Cao Changqing, director of the pricing department under the National Development and Reform Commission, said in an online interview. Rising property prices, driven up by speculation, have become a major concern for Chinese citizens. "Despite falling sales, housing prices in parts of Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen still remain high," he said. Prices are expected to remain stable as macro-control policies are starting to yield results, Cao said. The government introduced a string of policies to cool off the red-hot real estate market.

STOCKS finished mixed in another volatile session yesterday after a spike in wholesale prices touched off inflation concerns and partially overshadowed a strong increase in retail sales last month. Despite the uneven economic news, a strong forecast by Honeywell International Inc propped up the Dow Jones industrial average. Wall Street, which has this week paid close attention to steps by the Federal Reserve to stoke greater movement in moribund credit markets, again looked to fresh economic data for signals about the health of the economy. In one unwelcome development, prices at the wholesale level jumped 3.2 percent in November -- their biggest increase in 34 years -- after a steep rise in wholesale gasoline prices. The news wasn't all bad, however. The Commerce Department said retail sales rose in November by the largest amount in six months, and a Labor Department report showed a drop in new claims filed by those seeking jobless benefits. The modest movement on Wall

CRUDE oil fell below US$90 a barrel on Friday in the biggest weekly loss in two and a half years on concern that slowing economic growth will cut energy demand. Saudi Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi said supplies in the market were "ample." Consumer spending in the US rose less than forecast in October and incomes increased at the slowest pace in six months, the United States' Commerce Department said in Washington. Al-Naimi, speaking in Doha, said oil prices didn't reflect actual production and consumption trends, Bloomberg News reported. "The market is simply becoming more concerned about a possible recession that could reduce petroleum demand," said James Ritterbusch, president of Ritterbusch & Associates in Galena, Illinois. "We have been seeing evidence for some time of a weakening economy and weakening oil demand." Crude oil for January delivery fell US$2.30, or 2.5 percent, to settle at US$88.71 a barrel at 2:45pm on the New York Mercantile

THE prospect of a stronger US economy and word of possible new UN sanctions against Iran sent crude oil futures back above US$96 a barrel yesterday. The Labor Department reported that employers boosted payrolls by 166,000 jobs in October, the biggest increase in months and double what economists had forecast. Meanwhile, October's unemployment rate held steady at 4.7 percent. Separately, the Commerce Department said factory orders rose 0.2 percent in September, better than the 0.4 percent decline analysts were expecting. "It suggests that concerns about the economy ... are overblown a little bit," said Michael Lynch, president of Strategic Energy and Economic Research Inc., in Winchester, Massachusetts. Oil futures added to their gains late yesterday when the British Foreign Office said the U.N. Security Council has agreed to draft a new sanctions resolution that could be passed in November if Iranian cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency does not

WALL Street closed slightly lower in erratic trading yesterday as investors, uneasy about the credit markets and record-high oil prices, took little solace from reports on new home sales and durable goods orders. The Commerce Department said sales of new homes rose 4.8 percent in September from August's levels. The market initially popped on the data, as economists had predicted a decline. But it eventually pulled back because the sales increase was due to a big downward revision in August's decline, and that homebuilders had offered discounts in September to move inventory. "The sad part is, even with the discounts, we still have inventory overhang. And that's a problem," said Michael Strauss, chief economist at Commonfund. He noted that home prices are still falling, as are sales of existing homes, which make up the majority of the housing market. Another report showed that orders of big-ticket items, one gauge of business spending, fell 1.7 percent in September,

A SERIES of international sports events helped boost Shanghai's retail sales by a fifth during last week's National Day holiday, the city's economic commission said yesterday. Sales generated by the 425 retailers surveyed jumped 20.5 percent to 5.1 billion yuan (US$680 million) between October 1 and 7 from the same period last year, the Shanghai Economic Commission said in a report. The growth rate was 3.7 percentage points higher than the pace registered during the Labor Day holiday in May and 6.1 percentage points higher than February's Spring Festival. Chen Yuxian, author of the report, attributed the Golden Week spending boom partly to the FIFA Women's World Cup soccer championship, the Special Olympics and the Formula One Chinese Grand Prix, which all brought large numbers of athletes and sports fans to town. "Several local shopping and tourism events coincided with the holiday, plus the good weather also pushed up sales," Chen said. Hundreds of theme events were held citywide as part of the Shanghai Shopping Festival, including the Luwan District's imported food show, an international shopping carnival in Jing'an District, Huangpu's jewelry fete and a wine-tasting gala in Hongkou District. Hypermarkets, supermarkets and convenience stores were the leading contributors to the consumption boom, accounting for 41.2 percent of the total retail sales, the report said. Sales in department stores and shopping malls also rose. But sales in the restaurant sector fell 16.4 percent to 137.8 million yuan from the same period a year earlier, and receipts for hotels and related service businesses dropped 3.2 percent to 97.2 million yuan, the report said, without stating a reason. Local retail powerhouse Shanghai Brilliance (Group) Co generated 1.69 billion yuan in sales over the weeklong holiday, up 20.7 percent year on year and topping the eight major business groups surveyed by the commission. Meanwhile, retail sales in the suburbs totaled 763 million yuan, up 16.6 percent, led by Nanhui, Songjiang, Jinshan, Qingpu and Baoshan districts, which reported a rise of more than 25 percent. The report also said food prices remained stable during the holiday, with meat prices falling from the pre-holiday period while prices of green-leaf vegetables were up slightly.

Stocks dipped a bit Friday, the last trading day of the third quarter, with Wall Street relieved about solid readings on the economy but cautious ahead of October's corporate earnings reports. The market's losses were small, thanks to positive reports on consumer spending, construction spending, inflation and Midwest manufacturing. Though strong economic data might lower the chance that the Federal Reserve will further reduce rates, the tame inflation measure kept hopes of a rate cut alive. Last week, the Fed, reacting to August's tightening credit and plunging stocks, helped restore confidence in the financial markets by decreasing the federal funds rate target by a half-point to 4.75 percent. The central bank's rate decrease, the first in four years, helped the major stock indexes finish in positive territory for the quarter. "A second Fed cut will go a long way in reassuring the stock market that the worst is over. The focus going forward will be whether the Fed is going to lower rates to shore this up, or decide the risk of inflation is too high," said Janna Sampson, director of portfolio management at Oakbrook Investments. Though energy and food prices are surging, core inflation has been within the Fed's comfort zone of 1 to 2 percent. The Commerce Department's consumer spending report showed that a key core inflation gauge logged a year-over-year rise in August of 1.8 percent -- the smallest increase since 2004.

STOCKS dipped a bit yesterday, the last trading day of the third quarter, with Wall Street relieved about solid readings on the economy but cautious ahead of October's corporate earnings reports. The market's losses were small, thanks to positive reports on consumer spending, construction spending, inflation and Midwest manufacturing. Though strong economic data might lower the chance that the Federal Reserve will further reduce rates, the tame inflation measure kept hopes of a rate cut alive. Last week the Fed, reacting to August's tightening credit and plunging stocks, helped restore confidence in the financial markets by decreasing the federal funds rate target by a half point to 4.75 percent. The central bank's rate decrease, the first in four years, helped the major stock indexes finish in positive territory for the quarter. "A second Fed cut will go a long way in reassuring the stock market that the worst is over. The focus going forward will be whether the Fed is going to lower rates to shore this up, or decide the risk of inflation is too high," said Janna Sampson, director of portfolio management at Oakbrook Investments. Though energy and food prices are surging, core inflation has been within the Fed's comfort zone of 1 percent to 2 percent. The Commerce Department's consumer spending report showed that a key core inflation gauge logged a year-over-year rise in August of 1.8 percent _ the smallest increase since a similar rise in February 2004. But continuing to weigh on investors is the concern that corporate profits dropped off in the third quarter. Yesterday is the last trading day of one of the most volatile periods in years, one that pulled stocks sharply lower after the Dow Jones industrial average closed at a record 14,000.41 in mid-July. Wall Street now is bracing for signs, ahead of the mid-October onslaught of earnings reports, of how companies fared during the summer's tumult. The Dow slipped 17.31, or 0.12 percent, to 13,895.63. The blue-chip index ended the third quarter 3.6 percent higher, and is up 11.5 percent for the year. The Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 4.63, or 0.30 percent, to 1,526.75, finishing the quarter up 1.6 percent. The S&P is up 7.7 percent for the year. The Nasdaq composite index fell 8.09, or 0.30 percent, to 2,701.50, and closed the quarter with a gain of 3.8 percent. The Nasdaq is up 11.9 percent for the year. But the Russell 2000 index of smaller companies has not recover

FORMER Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said the odds on the first US recession in six years have increased as falling house prices threaten consumer spending. "The danger of recession has obviously risen," Greenspan said in an interview on BBC Radio 4 yesterday. He said the chances were "less than 50-50." In March Greenspan said they were about one in three. The Fed lowered its benchmark interest rate by half a percentage point to 4.75 percent this month in a bid to prevent a housing slump from spreading through the economy. Sales of new homes dropped 8.3 percent in August and prices plunged by the most since 1970, the Commerce Department said on Thursday. Greenspan "is right in pointing to the risks of a US recession," Matthew Sharratt, an economist at Bank of America Corp, told Bloomberg News. "The clear risk that consumption may soften is a worry for the US." Former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers said in an interview on Thursday there was nearly an even chance of a recession, defined as two consecutive quarters of economic contraction. The Fed, which Greenspan left in January 2006, lowered interest rates after rising defaults on US subprime mortgages sparked a global credit crunch. Greenspan said yesterday that the effects of a housing slump in the UK would be very similar to what was happening in the US.

THE People's Bank of China's research department raised its economic growth forecast yesterday and said inflation will probably accelerate to 4.6 percent this year. The economy may expand 11.6 percent this year, according to the report published in the China Securities Journal, faster than the agency's June estimate for a 10.8-percent expansion. Inflation this year will quicken to 4.6 percent from 1.5 percent in 2006 and up from the 3.2 percent forecast previously. The trade surplus will widen to about US$250 billion this year from US$177.5 billion in 2006. The forecasts put pressure on central bank Governor Zhou Xiaochuan to raise lending and deposit rates for the sixth time this year to cap surging asset prices and cool the overheating economy, said Bloomberg News. The bank on Thursday raised interest rates on some home mortgages and increased minimum down payments in an effort to cool property price gains. "The central bank may need to raise key interest rates again" to cool inflation, said Tao Dong, chief Asia economist at Credit Suisse Group in Hong Kong. "In three months from now, the economy will be cooler than it is right now." The government is also concerned that a surge in lending is creating a bubble, which would drive up bad loans should it collapse. Investment in real-estate development jumped 29 percent in the first eight months of this year. The rate on loans for second homes and on commercial real estate was pushed to at least 1.1 times "benchmark" rates that the People's Bank of China didn't specify in a statement at midnight on Thursday. Buyers will have to pay not less than 40 percent of a property's value as down payment, up from 30 percent. Until now, banks were barred from charging less than 90 percent of the benchmark rates for mortgages. Interest rates on loans for first homes are unchanged. The decision by the central bank and the China Banking Regulatory Commission is "to prevent credit risks and protect the borrower's repayment ability," according to the statement on the People's Bank of China Website.