Business news with words department+dollar+prices. 11 news.

OIL prices jumped in light trading yesterday after the government reported that consumer spending surged last month, raising hopes that the US economy will weather the crisis roiling credit markets and that demand for oil and gasoline will strengthen. The Commerce Department said consumer spending jumped 1.1 percent in November, the biggest one-month gain since 2004 and well above analyst expectations for an 0.7 percent increase. Light, sweet crude for February delivery rose US$2.25 to settle at US$93.31 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Oil prices were also supported by stocks, which rose yesterday, and a slightly weaker dollar. Energy investors often view stock market moves as reflective of overall economic sentiment. Also, oil futures offer a hedge against a weak dollar, and oil futures bought and sold in dollars are more attractive to foreign investors when the greenback is falling. Many observers blame oil's rise last month to near US$100 on speculators

OVERALL consumer prices in Hong Kong rose 3.4 percent year on year in November, slightly higher than October's 3.2 percent, the Census and Statistics Department said yesterday. The larger increase was mainly attributed to higher costs for town gas, private housing rents, outdoor dining as well as package tours, a spokesman for the department said. The spokesman said forecast for inflation in 2007 remained unchanged at two percent, adding that the slightly higher increase in November had been taken into account in the outlook, which was announced in mid-November. Looking ahead, sustained economic expansion, high food and oil prices, the weak US dollar and the appreciation of the yuan would continue to exert pressures, he added. "Lately, the pick-up in private housing rents also deserved attention. Yet the sustained increase in labor productivity should help mitigate the pressures to some extent," he added. For the three-month period ended November, the average

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- The dollar strengthened against other major currencies early Friday, getting a boost after the Labor Department reported hotter-than-expected consumer price inflation for November. The dollar rose 0.7% against the yen at 113.07 yen. The euro gave up 1% at $1.4491. The dollar index, which tracks the performance of the greenback against a basket of other major currencies, rose 0.8% at 77.145. The consumer price index increased 0.8%, driven by a 5.7% gain in energy prices, the biggest gain in consumer prices in more than two years. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, rose 0.3%, the biggest gain since January. The numbers were worse than expected. Economists were forecasting the CPI to rise 0.7% and the core rate to rise 0.2%, according to a survey conducted by MarketWatch.

SINGAPORE'S inflation accelerated in October to the highest since 1991, suggesting the central bank will allow the currency to strengthen further to curb consumer price gains. The consumer price index jumped 3.6 percent from a year earlier, after gaining 2.7 percent in September, the Department of Statistics said yesterday. The figure exceeded all estimates by economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, where the median forecast was a 2.8 percent gain. Prices rose 1.3 percent from September. The Monetary Authority of Singapore last month said it would allow a "slightly" faster appreciation in its currency, aiming to damp decade-high inflation by making imports cheaper. The government this week said it expects consumer prices to rise next year at more than double the 2007 pace. "The risks of inflation are clearly to the upside," said Joseph Tan, Asia strategist at Fortis Bank SA in Singapore. "We can expect the Singapore dollar to get stronger, and we don't

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- Prices that U.S. residents paid for imported goods rose 1.8% in October, the biggest increase since May 2006, the Labor Department reported Friday. Imported petroleum prices rose 6.9%, but prices of other goods rose a more moderate 0.5%. Excluding all fuels, import prices rose 0.3%. Meanwhile, export prices jumped 0.9% in October, including a 3.9% rise in agricultural prices. Excluding agriculture, export prices rose 0.5% in October. In the past year, import prices are up 9.6%, including a 41.4% increase in petroleum prices. Excluding petroleum, import prices are up 3.2%. Fed officials are watching import prices closely to see if the weaker dollar is fueling U.S. inflation.

THE US trade deficit narrowed more than forecast in August as exports climbed to a record for a sixth consecutive month. The gap shrank 2.4 percent to US$57.6 billion, the smallest since January, from a revised US$59 billion in July, the Commerce Department said yesterday in Washington. Foreign companies, benefiting from growing demand and a weaker dollar that's made American goods less expensive, have been snapping up Boeing Co aircraft and General Electric Co turbines. Rising exports will help keep the economy from falling into recession even as the housing slump persists. "The dollar is continuing to decline, which is giving a huge boost to competitiveness," Nigel Gault, chief US economist at Global Insight Inc in Lexington, Massachusetts, said before the report. Economists had forecast the deficit would narrow to US$59 billion, from a previously reported US$59.2 billion in July, according to the median of 74 forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey. Prices of goods

ASIAN stocks gained, led by Japanese exporters, after the yen reached a two-month low against the US dollar. BHP Billiton Ltd and Inpex Holdings Ltd fell after oil and copper prices extended their biggest drops in seven weeks. Honda Motor Co, which gets more than half of its sales from North America, climbed to an eight-week high. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average rose as Japan's market, which was closed on Monday, caught up with a rally fueled by a pickup in US hiring. "The improving US outlook has prompted a strengthening in the dollar; that's positive for exporters," said Yoji Takeda, who helps manage about US$900 million at RBC Investment (Asia) Ltd in Hong Kong. Benchmarks in Australia, South Korea, Singapore and Pakistan climbed to records while those in Hong Kong, India, Malaysia, Thailand and Pakistan also rose. They fell elsewhere in the region. The Morgan Stanley Capital International Asia-Pacific Index rose 0.2 percent to 166.04 as of 4:30pm in Tokyo, after earlier gaining as much as 0.5 percent. A measure of materials producers was the biggest drag on the index. "We've seen some weakening in commodity prices over the past few days and that's being reflected in the related stocks," Takeda said. The Nikkei 225 added 0.6 percent to 17,159.90. KK DaVinci Advisors led real estate-related shares higher after Goldman Sachs Group Inc offered to buy Simplex Investment Advisors Inc. US stocks slid on Monday, sending the Standard & Poor's 500 Index 0.3 percent lower. The index rose to a record on Friday after the Labor Department said the number of jobs in the country rose by 110,000 last month, more than the 100,000 additions forecast by economists in a Bloomberg News survey. "Concern about a slowdown in the US economy is easing," said Fujio Ando, who helps oversee US$365 million at Chiba-Gin Asset Management in Tokyo. "The strong jobs data also spurred dollar-buying. That's also positive for Japanese exporters." The yen recently traded at 117.35 per US dollar, compared with 116.59 at the market close on Friday in Tokyo. A weaker yen boosts the value of exporters' dollar-denominated sales when converted into the Japanese currency. Honda rose one percent to 4,020 yen (US$34.28), set for the highest close since August 15. Sony Corp, the maker of the Vaio computer and the PlayStation game console, added 0.5 percent to 5,820 yen. BHP, the world's largest mining company, fell 0.7 percent to A$44.40 (US

THE biggest quarterly rally for US government securities in five years is getting an extraordinary boost from the burgeoning reinvestment of petrodollars by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. OPEC members increased their holdings of Treasuries 12 percent this year through July to US$123.8 billion, Treasury Department data show. The prospect that OPEC's share of US debt is growing is based on the 31 percent rise in oil since December, which will raise OPEC revenue four percent to US$630 billion this year and nine percent to US$688 billion in 2008, according to estimates by the US Department of Energy. Petroleum exporters are adding to holdings of US debt three times faster than other foreign investors, the Treasury data show. Yields on 10-year notes are 21 basis points lower because of the additional petrodollar reinvestment, New York-based consulting company McKinsey & Co said last week. "Oil revenues are up; they're still in dollars, and they have to be put to work," said David Ader, head of US government bond strategy in Greenwich, Connecticut, at RBS Greenwich Capital, one of the 21 primary dealers that underwrite US government debt. "It bodes well for US debt." Demand from oil exporters may help drive yields lower even as signs that the US economy is weathering the worst housing market in 16 years reduce investor expectations for lower interest rates. The chances that the Federal Reserve will lower its target rate for overnight loans between banks this month fell to 48 percent from 74 percent a week ago, based on prices at the Chicago Board of Trade. The yield on the benchmark 4 3/4 percent note due in August 2017 rose four basis points last week to 4.64 percent, according to New York-based bond broker Cantor Fitzgerald LP. The price, which moves inversely to the yield, fell 10/32, or US$3.13 per US$1,000 face amount, to 100 7/8. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point. The note was little changed at 4.63 percent yesterday. OPEC's windfall suggests there will be demand for US debt from international investors even as the dollar falls to a record low versus the euro, Michael Pond, a debt strategist at Barclays Capital Inc, told Bloomberg News. Among foreign holders only Japan, China and the United Kingdom own more Treasuries than the 12 members of OPEC, which supplies more than 40 percent of the world's crude. Oil exporters eclipsed Asian nations last year as the biggest source of global capital for t

COMMODITIES had the biggest monthly gain in September in 32 years, led by wheat, crude oil and gold, as the US dollar's slump enhanced the appeal of energy, grains and precious metals as a hedge against inflation. The 19-commodity Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index was up 8.1 percent last month, the most since July 1975. Wheat climbed to a record in September amid a global grain shortfall, boosting corn and soybeans. Oil also hit a record, and gold reached a 27-year high. The Federal Reserve cut borrowing costs to bolster the American economy, sending the US dollar tumbling. "The Fed has signaled pretty clearly that (it) will answer the problem of a slowing economy with greater liquidity," said Chip Hanlon, who manages US$1 billion at Delta Global Advisors Inc in Huntington Beach, California. "We're in a bullish phase for commodities." The CRB Index rose to 333.67 from 308.76 on August 31. Wheat reached a record US$9.5125 a bushel on Friday. Crude oil climbed to US$83.90 a barrel, the highest ever, on September 20 and approached the record on Friday. Gold rose as high as US$752.80 an ounce on Friday, the highest since January 1980. The US dollar fell to a record against a weighted basket of six major currencies, including the euro, yen and pound. The Fed on September 18 cut its benchmark rate by 0.5 percentage point, more than economists forecast, to 4.75 percent in an attempt to shore up an economy threatened by a housing recession, according to Bloomberg News. The rate cut sparked inflation concerns. Some investors buy commodities to hedge against rising consumer prices, and the falling dollar makes raw materials priced in the United States currency cheaper for buyers holding other currencies. The cut in US borrowing costs will continue to weaken the dollar and lead to "skyrocketing" prices for commodities, Jim Rogers, chairman of Beeland Interests Inc, said in an interview last week. He co-founded the Quantum Hedge Fund with George Soros in the 1970s. Wheat rose on Friday after the US Department of Agriculture said US production and supplies were smaller than analysts expected. Global inventories are poised to decline to the lowest level in 26 years. Wheat futures for December delivery rose six US cents, or 0.6 percent, to US$9.39 a bushel on the Chicago Board of Trade. The price was up 22 percent this month and has more than doubled in the past 12 months.

OIL futures fell yesterday as a late flurry of selling overcame an earlier rally driven by the steadily weakening dollar. Early in the day, crude prices rose to near record levels as the dollar's drop against other currencies sparked buying by investment funds. But in the midst of that rally, analysts noted that oil's fundamentals are weak. Many believe it is only a matter of time before oil begins a seasonal price decline. Light, sweet crude for November delivery fell $1.22 to settle at $81.66 a barrel on the Nymex, giving back nearly half of the $2.58 the contract gained on Thursday. Prices rose as high as $83.76 early in the day. Oil prices peaked at a record $83.90 last week before retreating below $80 a barrel early this week. When an Energy Department report on Wednesday showed crude inventories rose last week, countering expectations for a decline, prices fell below $79 _ but then rebounded late in the day. "There's definitely been a flow of fund buying here," said Tim Evans, an analyst at Citigroup Inc. in New York. Oil and other commodities denominated in dollars are actually falling in price in the eyes of foreign investors. That's because the dollar has been sliding against other currencies since the Federal Reserve cut interest rates last week. The dollar fell further yesterday on expectations that the weak U.S. economy means another rate cut is coming. Buying by foreign investors precipitates new investment by domestic traders betting the added demand will boost prices. But Evans and other analysts argue that market fundamentals do not support such high prices. Oil inventories are falling, but that's typical for this time of year, Evans said. Oil inventories are 1.3 percent below year-ago levels, but oil's price is more than $20 a barrel higher, he said. And high oil and gas prices are depressing demand, Evans added. Stephen Schork, an analyst and trader in Villanova, Pennsylvania, argued that many funds bought oil futures this week to pad their results for the third quarter, which ends yesterday. "Hedge fund managers ... went window shopping in the (New York Mercantile Exchange crude) pit to dress up their end-of-quarter marks," Schork said in his daily Schork Report research note. "We are more interested to see how the fourth quarter begins on Monday rather than how the third quarter ends today." While Nymex crude rallied late in the week, oil prices ended the week flat, up just 4 c

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- The dollar took a breather from its recent drop Wednesday, gaining on its major counterparts as stock prices rose on news of a tentative deal ending a two-day United Auto Workers strike against General Motors Corp. Currencies markets largely shrugged off dismal data released by the Commerce Department revealing that durable goods plunged 4.9% last month, the biggest monthly decline in orders for big-ticket items since January. A sharp fall had been expected, with the consensus forecast calling for a 4.5% drop. The dollar was at 115.55 yen, up from 114.68 yen in late U.S. trading Tuesday. The euro was at $1.4122, below $1.4144 Tuesday and down from a fresh record high of $1.4162 hit overnight.